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CCB fixes the semantic content of a task and varies only its depth N in {5,...,50} across three structurally distinct regimes: grounded spatial state-tracking, abstract symbolic pointer manipulation, and transitive relational inference. Across 6,000 trials over five frontier and open-weight LLMs we find a consistent pattern of geometric per-step decay with widely separated domain ceilings: on the first two regimes the strongest models retain pd>0.92 across N=50; on the third every model collapses by N=5, with the best model's 50%-success horizon at H0.5~4.7 steps despite pd=0.863. A trace-level metric (TFBC) shows that 14.5% of correct answers across the benchmark are reached via incorrect intermediate reasoning. Forced verbose state-tracking does not move the ceiling (McNem","title":"The Complexity Ceiling Benchmark: A Multi-Domain Evaluation of Sequential Reasoning Under Depth Scaling","url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29278","vendor":"arxiv_cs_ai"},"summary":"arXiv:2606.29278v1 Announce Type: new \nAbstract: We introduce the Complexity Ceiling Benchmark (CCB), a controlled evaluation of how language-model reasoning decays as the number of required sequential steps grows. CCB fixes the semantic content of a task and varies only its depth N in {5,...,50} across three structurally distinct regimes: grounded spatial state-tracking, abstract symbolic pointer manipulation, and transitive relational inference. 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