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Maintaining surrogate fidelity under drift, particularly when models must also capture aleatoric uncertainty, remains an open challenge. Existing adaptive frameworks lack principled mechanisms for detecting when updates are needed, for efficiently adapting models from limited streaming data, and for certifying that updates genuinely improve predictive performance. Here we present an adaptive Digital Twin framework that integrates a Fisher score--based multivariate drift detector, Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) for parameter-efficient continual learning, and a Mann--Whitney $U$ test for online statistical validation. The framework monitors surrogate-model confidence via Fisher score vectors, triggers targeted fine-tuning of fewer than 1% of model parameters upon dri","title":"A Continual Validation, Updating, and Decision-Making Framework for Self-Adaptive Digital Twins via Robust Model Predictive Control: A Case Study in Additive Manufacturing","url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.18164","vendor":"arxiv_cs_ai"},"summary":"arXiv:2607.18164v1 Announce Type: cross \nAbstract: Digital Twins rely on surrogate models to mirror physical systems in real time, yet these models can degrade as operating conditions evolve, a phenomenon known as concept drift. Maintaining surrogate fidelity under drift, particularly when models must also capture aleatoric uncertainty, remains an open challenge. Existing adaptive frameworks lack principled mechanisms for detecting when updates are needed, for efficiently adapting models from limited streaming data, and for certifying that updates genuinely improve predictive performance. Here we present an adaptive Digital Twin framework that integrates a Fisher score--based multivariate drift detector, Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) for parameter-efficient continual learning, and a Mann--Whitney $U$ test for online statistical validation. The framework monitors surrogate-model confidence via Fisher score vectors, triggers targeted fine-tuning of fewer than 1% of model parameters upon dri","title":"A Continual Validation, Updating, and Decision-Making Framework for Self-Adaptive Digital Twins via Robust Model Predictive Control: A Case Study in Additive Manufacturing","vendor":"arxiv_cs_ai"},"confidence":{"method":"deterministic"},"decision":"POSITIVE","issued_at":"2026-07-21T04:43:35Z","notes":"Spider vendor_press (news) news.vendor_press.v1","object":{"captured_by":"crovia.spider.vendor_press","primary_source_url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.18164"},"predecessors":[],"schema":"crovia.axiom.v1","signature":"ed25519:7b00df9c31ee81c0f89a0e14073ef6793748eacd14e858967fee4499236057d10d9cdb18c61cd46eb00af94e165d5584bdba634d9cb7d97b69787dc9ffa92606","signer":"crovia.substrate","subject":{"observed_at":"2026-07-21T04:43:35Z","source_collector":"spider:vendor_press","target_id":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.18164"},"tsa":{"authority":"crovia.substrate.bootstrap","rfc3161_token":"{\"kind\":\"crovia.bootstrap.tsa\",\"source_jsonl\":\"/opt/crovia/spider/data/news/vendor_press_v1.jsonl\",\"source_seal_merkle_root\":\"spider_vendor_press_v1\",\"upgrade_path\":\"Sessione H \\u2014 OpenTimestamps weekly anchor\"}"},"zk_mode":"clear","zk_proof":null},"ledger":{"leaf_hash":"a437c1354cce51b3146c376e713f25b46412e915b8c45925cdba5ae646962f9d","leaf_index":336848,"ledger_path":"/opt/crovia/substrate/axiom_ledger.jsonl"},"merkle_proof":{"hash_alg":"sha256","leaf_prefix":"0x00","node_prefix":"0x01","odd_leaf_rule":"duplicate_last","path":[{"sibling":"ee879b925b7df2d54ae6f3436181fe44be2b23e707d334e9830db5e9147c0222","side":"right"},{"sibling":"79d22d5779581270783908703a533e6e69109c2b270f6dbb99086933175a23af","side":"right"},{"sibling":"74378e9df8089b8dc2109b4e5bb88fbd2a5fab7b6ff9b591850c318ea4c095b8","side":"right"},{"sibling":"e40c462bb6e600bfbf0a302f5f491ac16a871ad61add5b614f8167fad4b6af7e","side":"right"},{"sibling":"21408594b3ad70f4fcf4231ead9f8941c33f5c6c32cbf7ee5b7252d25b73cfdc","side":"left"},{"sibling":"ca554dfa6a8758a7105fc0a5770c49c50d6002f56c5e5386b8055fbfbe8c43dd","side":"right"},{"sibling":"ce03a7473ecb89a8a8b71de92b9d2d6aa1aa165b6c59cefc86a37241b7f55b64","side":"left"},{"sibling":"90ee1b815719c44a83e23429473a176437135319947bc07c6e3752315a40068d","side":"left"},{"sibling":"bd233cee8c0876447824d86de33608c36e3a8e17dca0737155291ed768cf56d1","side":"left"},{"sibling":"7b927551b5db06b6571913b4e6792ffcce5291a3eca5a0df4a3b6e296271105f","side":"left"},{"sibling":"b77a0b5ae4607c8fe6ba73449d46b35076e3dedc0c82a2c65a05780d42a7bc2e","side":"right"},{"sibling":"9eb5077edfb3dc553857d4794b925bfce117e0f8a1d049af5d0dd9026b470eef","side":"right"},{"sibling":"414b1a70fd1dcb25489a194714b97492b066684b15d0b7a48a176c4b9b5bc713","side":"right"},{"sibling":"21d66dd41003813f710b7617944f1bfba3258658a5d3370c21cad8f9e945bc99","side":"left"},{"sibling":"613f015699131eb89bd755dee67133be95af25cf5f16c1c8ce4b99d963b8dd86","side":"right"},{"sibling":"a729b574b1135956436ded5eef1fe8f08014ff6a0729749d307ab1bca93fcdc9","side":"right"},{"sibling":"77025bcb374a7ad74f520643e20a8ae1205a7ee78507b0beb93117760f1c29d3","side":"left"},{"sibling":"4bf21052e085e8ac81f1dec1d2b310bd12bf948992de6177d12e9d2fda8d39f0","side":"right"},{"sibling":"1cecb7f447febd025aac272837c80de218aecc6485d2395a509b2a1f1b9c746e","side":"left"}]},"schema":"crovia.axiom_proof.v1","seal":{"first_collector_run_id":"","first_receipt_hash":"","jsonl_path":"/opt/crovia/substrate/axiom_ledger.jsonl","key_id":"430895f101d38164","last_collector_run_id":"","last_receipt_hash":"","leaf_count":337144,"merkle_root":"5e969cc01afa67e4dbe5d37b712cdb10f4aa1fd74404e02eab724cf487c8d6d9","public_key_hex":"cf742e26f75669dc673cb5c0786a1ae23ae8ca19c347317192ce40c28a7ff25c","run_id":"hourly_json_retrofit_20260721T053701Z","schema":"crovia.seal.v1","seal_family_version":"crovia-seal-family/1","seal_kind":"substrate_batch","sealed_at":"2026-07-21T05:38:38Z","sig_algorithm":"ed25519","signature":"5c0c1a8dd2793d787ccd5e49e8b4d70eed136352555518589f05c74be357fc171702e42a76c3a556d90e3d51ff36cb3d292aaac83c66566de7b943f318bda50c","signer_version":"1.1.0"},"trust_root":{"key_id":"430895f101d38164","public_key_hex":"cf742e26f75669dc673cb5c0786a1ae23ae8ca19c347317192ce40c28a7ff25c","signature_algorithm":"ed25519","url":"/registry/canon/TRUST_ROOT.md"},"verifier":{"spec":"/registry/canon/AXIOM_RECEIPT_v1.md","url":"/v/axm_4d54b332c517fc96ee8cebff58984f084592f363e73a9ae2ce1468431ab1556d"}}