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While these measurements provide the ground-truth signal necessary for kernel search, they are costly, because each evaluation of a kernel requires compilation and repeated execution on a GPU. As improvements in LLM inference reduce the cost of writing novel kernels and LLM-driven searches scale to large search budgets, on-device evaluation becomes a bottleneck. To address this, we study how LLMs can serve as selective GPU surrogates for kernel evaluation, by forecasting the performance of proposed kernels. A useful surrogate should be accurate, and it should be selective, by knowing when it could be wrong, and deferring to the GPU. To evaluate surrogates, we measure whether their forecasts are accurate, calibrated, and practically useful for recovering fast kern","title":"GPU Forecasters: Language Models as Selective Surrogates for Kernel Runtime Optimization","url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.31464","vendor":"arxiv_cs_ai"},"summary":"arXiv:2605.31464v1 Announce Type: cross \nAbstract: GPU kernels are the workhorse of modern deep learning, and optimizing them (via evolutionary search or coding agents) usually requires repeated measurement on target hardware. While these measurements provide the ground-truth signal necessary for kernel search, they are costly, because each evaluation of a kernel requires compilation and repeated execution on a GPU. As improvements in LLM inference reduce the cost of writing novel kernels and LLM-driven searches scale to large search budgets, on-device evaluation becomes a bottleneck. To address this, we study how LLMs can serve as selective GPU surrogates for kernel evaluation, by forecasting the performance of proposed kernels. A useful surrogate should be accurate, and it should be selective, by knowing when it could be wrong, and deferring to the GPU. To evaluate surrogates, we measure whether their forecasts are accurate, calibrated, and practically useful for recovering fast kern","title":"GPU Forecasters: Language Models as Selective Surrogates for Kernel Runtime Optimization","vendor":"arxiv_cs_ai"},"confidence":{"method":"deterministic"},"decision":"POSITIVE","issued_at":"2026-06-01T04:43:13Z","notes":"Spider vendor_press (news) news.vendor_press.v1","object":{"captured_by":"crovia.spider.vendor_press","primary_source_url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.31464"},"predecessors":[],"schema":"crovia.axiom.v1","signature":"ed25519:14f173372ee31493151a3cbe433e329d8ee6509c96bf6b4df5347f87174b41cb6357a65236be573a394647aac1e27ee707187bc60dcb7c997c05e9e027439909","signer":"crovia.substrate","subject":{"observed_at":"2026-06-01T04:43:13Z","source_collector":"spider:vendor_press","target_id":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.31464"},"tsa":{"authority":"crovia.substrate.bootstrap","rfc3161_token":"{\"kind\":\"crovia.bootstrap.tsa\",\"source_jsonl\":\"/opt/crovia/spider/data/news/vendor_press_v1.jsonl\",\"source_seal_merkle_root\":\"spider_vendor_press_v1\",\"upgrade_path\":\"Sessione H \\u2014 OpenTimestamps weekly anchor\"}"},"zk_mode":"clear","zk_proof":null},"ledger":{"leaf_hash":"5c22fa5ee136879cd55a7c888c8eaf7a3958fe730fb259a4f8e79970f6e7a59e","leaf_index":163974,"ledger_path":"/opt/crovia/substrate/axiom_ledger.jsonl"},"merkle_proof":{"hash_alg":"sha256","leaf_prefix":"0x00","node_prefix":"0x01","odd_leaf_rule":"duplicate_last","path":[{"sibling":"89a39520c37a013e23f048f2c23ee2aedb9e1027d2d1bdbf1035b40eb2997443","side":"right"},{"sibling":"f2e64582e25fdc45b2bbad3f7ca210b15d967f44dd7f97fa9a328d6c57a94e28","side":"left"},{"sibling":"4b721891f283de6cb96ed4171442dbc90c934c5f2e98e7b3bd473d5839a66f90","side":"left"},{"sibling":"593f231f8a92a58898f6ebf315bc89508a9af3f340aab3198a49eb2112f04a3b","side":"right"},{"sibling":"58883419c3d417b9c023cb9d774a44bf22c75a8fd58b395b8b7bc76f7575418c","side":"right"},{"sibling":"3a4b99b5e30e175fae490ceb9436824dfa4dacb6bb8fcc8b02cec6847385e329","side":"right"},{"sibling":"1d23b94e7765a5d6bcc243f4f7ecca5895f450b29cd855b417c9c7111e6b5a45","side":"right"},{"sibling":"c2ed258674acbec09c8c9dbf15c89e6fc50854c6eb5f8d42b378de7db248641a","side":"left"},{"sibling":"86fede29e507d01bfe35484a1579149e8e99b3527ff48559423f6056d11af46a","side":"right"},{"sibling":"fc601f0745c37fc5f7c249300e654db05d61bb9059885eeb0b0a5047b5d28408","side":"right"},{"sibling":"6ed9290cdae063f13bfeb71c4c5440595cabb61fd4b39225b9cc913ffb336dd7","side":"right"},{"sibling":"a0446b923d1ce90021e78edff07f6bfc7cc2a1326a565c5f0786b82a24dd0a2a","side":"right"},{"sibling":"e598fd53912c30e58ca8e58d7d8a338fe0f2ecb63fdd99225bc703c499c948ec","side":"right"},{"sibling":"fc4873333221ec8167697f75b6f6a8a08491a8cf18952defb65fb6d4958fa5e7","side":"right"},{"sibling":"05c8a827da2a05549ee3250310777009120c687885816bf6c7c74801bfaa346d","side":"right"},{"sibling":"5ea2f2dc9f046df723b6bd9932d61a9a3d80a76e79ce1b939b3d93ff79b5a91c","side":"left"},{"sibling":"ce41d9b82f34b16efd653dfb3552acc4e2512939e47903e5fc979fbed00c5764","side":"right"},{"sibling":"d841ad93efda0869e5eb97678f348f03f5caab4353e05ff4bf18f47fb945b822","side":"left"}]},"schema":"crovia.axiom_proof.v1","seal":{"first_collector_run_id":"","first_receipt_hash":"","jsonl_path":"/opt/crovia/substrate/axiom_ledger.jsonl","key_id":"430895f101d38164","last_collector_run_id":"","last_receipt_hash":"","leaf_count":164217,"merkle_root":"a1098816aea1b60b8fe37b62410469bc5024a2c335bbec4f6ef2add7875dbdf2","public_key_hex":"cf742e26f75669dc673cb5c0786a1ae23ae8ca19c347317192ce40c28a7ff25c","run_id":"hourly_json_retrofit_20260601T053701Z","schema":"crovia.seal.v1","seal_family_version":"crovia-seal-family/1","seal_kind":"substrate_batch","sealed_at":"2026-06-01T05:37:41Z","sig_algorithm":"ed25519","signature":"d7f91db1d54b9495c499440c2828f4bd53360555391ce6e25adea5183bc1fa0f697d80708a099d0b0429e6f8cb6c71e7fccf82acb3c84481149974fb26074708","signer_version":"1.1.0"},"trust_root":{"key_id":"430895f101d38164","public_key_hex":"cf742e26f75669dc673cb5c0786a1ae23ae8ca19c347317192ce40c28a7ff25c","signature_algorithm":"ed25519","url":"/registry/canon/TRUST_ROOT.md"},"verifier":{"spec":"/registry/canon/AXIOM_RECEIPT_v1.md","url":"/v/axm_7470db6cd6a21d4c051337db89f7d6eacd9640d79e523a44242d92c7cd8aab0b"}}