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We present FreshCache, a three-tier semantic cache that treats cache reuse as a risk-constrained temporal inference problem: before approving a cache hit, FreshCache estimates the probability that the cached result is stale using a fitted exponential decay model enhanced by a learned MLP, and approves reuse only when that probability falls below a per-tier error budget across answers (epsilon = 0.10), URL lists (epsilon = 0.20), and page content (epsilon = 0.35). This allows the system to degrade gracefully as entries age rather than forcing a binary choice between a stale hit and a full pipeline execution. 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