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BPL extends Rational Speech Act theory with three cognitively motivated bounds derived from the bounded rationality literature with a) a recursion depth bound (that emphasises working memory limits);b) a prior compression parameter (which is oriented at capturing information bottleneck); and c) an availability sample size (that operationalises importance sampling with saliency-weighted proposals). This allows us to test predictions about misinformation susceptibility, annotator disagreement, and the differential vulnerability to mis-, dis-, and mal-information as defined in the Information Disorder framework. We validate BPL on the LIAR and MultiFC benchmarks showcasing competitive veracity classification and experimental support for the depth-mismatch paradox.","title":"A Cognitively Grounded Bayesian Framework for Misinformation Susceptibility","url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.09483","vendor":"arxiv_cs_ai"},"summary":"arXiv:2605.09483v1 Announce Type: cross \nAbstract: In this (work in progress) paper, we present Bounded Pragmatic Listener (or BPL), a cognitively grounded Bayesian framework for modelling susceptibility to information disorder. BPL extends Rational Speech Act theory with three cognitively motivated bounds derived from the bounded rationality literature with a) a recursion depth bound (that emphasises working memory limits);b) a prior compression parameter (which is oriented at capturing information bottleneck); and c) an availability sample size (that operationalises importance sampling with saliency-weighted proposals). This allows us to test predictions about misinformation susceptibility, annotator disagreement, and the differential vulnerability to mis-, dis-, and mal-information as defined in the Information Disorder framework. We validate BPL on the LIAR and MultiFC benchmarks showcasing competitive veracity classification and experimental support for the depth-mismatch paradox.","title":"A Cognitively Grounded Bayesian Framework for Misinformation Susceptibility","vendor":"arxiv_cs_ai"},"confidence":{"method":"deterministic"},"decision":"POSITIVE","issued_at":"2026-05-12T04:43:42Z","notes":"Spider vendor_press (news) news.vendor_press.v1","object":{"captured_by":"crovia.spider.vendor_press","primary_source_url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.09483"},"predecessors":[],"schema":"crovia.axiom.v1","signature":"ed25519:6f738f6a5392a86d86e2e9b116b9128454cda5e6324a20a33b9b3536901fa8ec49e03b516d1852f70fbdd40b3ad4cab9f0d2c477deafc5992bf49752c81e270e","signer":"crovia.substrate","subject":{"observed_at":"2026-05-12T04:43:42Z","source_collector":"spider:vendor_press","target_id":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.09483"},"tsa":{"authority":"crovia.substrate.bootstrap","rfc3161_token":"{\"kind\":\"crovia.bootstrap.tsa\",\"source_jsonl\":\"/opt/crovia/spider/data/news/vendor_press_v1.jsonl\",\"source_seal_merkle_root\":\"spider_vendor_press_v1\",\"upgrade_path\":\"Sessione H \\u2014 OpenTimestamps weekly anchor\"}"},"zk_mode":"clear","zk_proof":null},"ledger":{"leaf_hash":"2d76d57438546b19562d15892e46a4512c9a8cfab9374c16d617953d3828efa6","leaf_index":128726,"ledger_path":"/opt/crovia/substrate/axiom_ledger.jsonl"},"merkle_proof":{"hash_alg":"sha256","leaf_prefix":"0x00","node_prefix":"0x01","odd_leaf_rule":"duplicate_last","path":[{"sibling":"d44b9dcf529082c1ce236821698af54a6f5e3e82c9d38861f17be67c469fbeb7","side":"right"},{"sibling":"901f12e9bd5d49846e9b901a769609362167d06412ab0cdd10ca8e4c47025c4a","side":"left"},{"sibling":"c99fe5abd3a5f3af8be013bcbc9b2ec1797ce3709fc2dbbd1ad930003e82d433","side":"left"},{"sibling":"034279594939f0b6552a2f445ee86fc9ba6ab6681dd91acc323acd965a92bf08","side":"right"},{"sibling":"bfcc10a5e28a7ab4d0337180188c7a98f57270836d0be5f226b67b15cba940c4","side":"left"},{"sibling":"e2b4d65e7ab862f963ca34e18b739f1ca93a2a726f24956ae4585a8f9be6217c","side":"right"},{"sibling":"b8399efa86c600d3b6c6043f58d34ae85891a591cd008a713987d313dca752fc","side":"left"},{"sibling":"66ed9d27919b2830cd6c07ec62488d62635d76aad26e26435c6ebbcd12730198","side":"left"},{"sibling":"831b04b4dcc29bcff4577c406291bc4f644057b650a55f064d46d1cab5185326","side":"right"},{"sibling":"1d74b0fb79eace68949b4d82b0e430b1d9eb122c125f67f5be7d50c074c228e7","side":"left"},{"sibling":"c6eaf7a4fcab2db96e9e9423acb6922c80f64882d0f3f50d09e53a4807d23084","side":"left"},{"sibling":"df12eaabc0a370aff5d0488478f48d2b3f90d025c903643f98ea804b017688ec","side":"right"},{"sibling":"ffc4d51379293bc3e1910c7d612f409dc610fd9acf8241793fb89f82e1bad4ef","side":"left"},{"sibling":"62ac6554017807bd83187f5a3e5f4f72d6c482616429c2780e9fff1f4845fa04","side":"left"},{"sibling":"3a5e69cf0803f4c91f3895ed7c9a95748fef240bec4422e167c05300f79f06c0","side":"left"},{"sibling":"f2817ab288b5324fe49770372c7a10f33f7cd11005f8d4c0a730316f5229dc98","side":"left"},{"sibling":"725fac972e772ca0dc598810ea1abc70df472f72d2d6ab8a0baee2b80e5d2f4c","side":"left"},{"sibling":"98fc57dfef8873b512edc8340f7181df57302bb96777625e072235c62d7c5895","side":"right"}]},"schema":"crovia.axiom_proof.v1","seal":{"first_collector_run_id":"","first_receipt_hash":"","jsonl_path":"/opt/crovia/substrate/axiom_ledger.jsonl","key_id":"430895f101d38164","last_collector_run_id":"","last_receipt_hash":"","leaf_count":134292,"merkle_root":"77fc9c28fae777b81da5b495b3115474df6592dfac590333213d3bdf8b94a9b3","public_key_hex":"cf742e26f75669dc673cb5c0786a1ae23ae8ca19c347317192ce40c28a7ff25c","run_id":"hourly_json_retrofit_20260515T023701Z","schema":"crovia.seal.v1","seal_family_version":"crovia-seal-family/1","seal_kind":"substrate_batch","sealed_at":"2026-05-15T02:37:25Z","sig_algorithm":"ed25519","signature":"68107a834b00b24f5d4501e5ec727445311f132a486567ecc4c72a4e6dff24c8c21f2de3105293353ba5fdbe370d032819af6aa70f694e2e39b6af6737507009","signer_version":"1.1.0"},"trust_root":{"key_id":"430895f101d38164","public_key_hex":"cf742e26f75669dc673cb5c0786a1ae23ae8ca19c347317192ce40c28a7ff25c","signature_algorithm":"ed25519","url":"/registry/canon/TRUST_ROOT.md"},"verifier":{"spec":"/registry/canon/AXIOM_RECEIPT_v1.md","url":"/v/axm_9f5550a5fec18b3231f7b4ad0d28bb927d06d8df620b69342e4c6c862f21372e"}}