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Recent works have introduced a class of architectures named predictive inverse dynamics models (PIDM) that combine a future state predictor with an inverse dynamics model. While PIDM often outperforms BC, the reasons behind its benefits remain unclear. In this paper, we provide a theoretical explanation: PIDM introduces a bias-variance tradeoff. While predicting the future state introduces bias, conditioning the IDM on the prediction can significantly reduce variance. We establish conditions on the state predictor bias for PIDM to achieve lower prediction error and higher sample efficiency than BC, with the gap widening when additional data sources are available. We validate the theoretical insights empirically in 2D navigation tasks, where BC requires up to five times (three times on average) more ","title":"When Does Predictive Inverse Dynamics Outperform Behavior Cloning?","url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.21718","vendor":"arxiv_cs_ai"},"summary":"arXiv:2601.21718v2 Announce Type: replace-cross \nAbstract: Behavior cloning (BC) is a practical offline imitation learning method, but it often fails when expert demonstrations are limited. Recent works have introduced a class of architectures named predictive inverse dynamics models (PIDM) that combine a future state predictor with an inverse dynamics model. While PIDM often outperforms BC, the reasons behind its benefits remain unclear. In this paper, we provide a theoretical explanation: PIDM introduces a bias-variance tradeoff. While predicting the future state introduces bias, conditioning the IDM on the prediction can significantly reduce variance. We establish conditions on the state predictor bias for PIDM to achieve lower prediction error and higher sample efficiency than BC, with the gap widening when additional data sources are available. We validate the theoretical insights empirically in 2D navigation tasks, where BC requires up to five times (three times on average) more ","title":"When Does Predictive Inverse Dynamics Outperform Behavior Cloning?","vendor":"arxiv_cs_ai"},"confidence":{"method":"deterministic"},"decision":"POSITIVE","issued_at":"2026-06-02T04:43:38Z","notes":"Spider vendor_press (news) news.vendor_press.v1","object":{"captured_by":"crovia.spider.vendor_press","primary_source_url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.21718"},"predecessors":[],"schema":"crovia.axiom.v1","signature":"ed25519:7c1eae723878c43f5bddb20cf1a3e37a81bcbad57d753463e789f49c80af5facd479ec48224edfce01a2763551ee00f2c1c67040688cb0d17071b0deeccc7a01","signer":"crovia.substrate","subject":{"observed_at":"2026-06-02T04:43:38Z","source_collector":"spider:vendor_press","target_id":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.21718"},"tsa":{"authority":"crovia.substrate.bootstrap","rfc3161_token":"{\"kind\":\"crovia.bootstrap.tsa\",\"source_jsonl\":\"/opt/crovia/spider/data/news/vendor_press_v1.jsonl\",\"source_seal_merkle_root\":\"spider_vendor_press_v1\",\"upgrade_path\":\"Sessione H \\u2014 OpenTimestamps weekly anchor\"}"},"zk_mode":"clear","zk_proof":null},"ledger":{"leaf_hash":"35771b126ffffc3b9fb3be4ec962a3fd2004074d146f642c100303041ce1d905","leaf_index":205938,"ledger_path":"/opt/crovia/substrate/axiom_ledger.jsonl"},"merkle_proof":{"hash_alg":"sha256","leaf_prefix":"0x00","node_prefix":"0x01","odd_leaf_rule":"duplicate_last","path":[{"sibling":"c0b5c78e51c84e2f141d9ab01af3a610e64e5bf16e57d7dfc5ea2de128425476","side":"right"},{"sibling":"2dd5acc2cce72e85130142398b67d22f6e03d5d9258b2b25d2b6427057f5865e","side":"left"},{"sibling":"5cba510d635d341a06b020b86c846d1a958689e6e995ee73f3aa0cfe14441c97","side":"right"},{"sibling":"30812ee27e795c889d1b7201d4c6fcfafc22c5b1c4333790dead207fd08f953e","side":"right"},{"sibling":"4ebf76e376f12ae875df0f896d854f8bb3772e4fa78c174748a1d9a3b58805a7","side":"left"},{"sibling":"17c3e83748ee712cf1e26882e3c59c3dc76245bd315d5fc563234ecc039332eb","side":"left"},{"sibling":"e3079b690878ce30b8ca3786d84b9c0a1891426d146e638fe7ca9df8dcb74e02","side":"left"},{"sibling":"a5c0411da65d36a27f4e797deeace23f77314552708425e4e91c3ebf671bc23b","side":"right"},{"sibling":"6ac554ede1f78dc3a28ebe5e1155c2b9c258b71805fdd7ad2ec992697f3ccd0c","side":"right"},{"sibling":"5e1949edfad76bc6a73d008dc8be8a0c6fe4a7fb64c8beaf70e5023ca11d35e0","side":"right"},{"sibling":"e4bd1aaaf3f336d9b072b4d1fc234246fc3cf2874ca873b7741c03eaf97911f2","side":"left"},{"sibling":"e6adead8216db4cae92f0a036d53baebf30eed95a99c0d10758aa75bb7780f2f","side":"right"},{"sibling":"1acc2b7ff453ffd8c97b80ae4db5358780f0c6796874fd75403791dbe99f8cd7","side":"right"},{"sibling":"24d1bb4b13e0e46131b27b70a48e65fcf4e2e14b95e3bb83ade821e9df530f6b","side":"left"},{"sibling":"5f86f58c28b1a86ae06dfff4666bb9fba8866021a81fd4f1d200aa9af4722dfb","side":"right"},{"sibling":"f6cc6f94f6944ae21390afc65ac9e91dc31f84ee6e060681bba5ae08058294bd","side":"right"},{"sibling":"c300cf0154c136afc09b1702a0be98f4ba5b6dc5cf57e8cc714ec1eaf4196eff","side":"left"},{"sibling":"d841ad93efda0869e5eb97678f348f03f5caab4353e05ff4bf18f47fb945b822","side":"left"}]},"schema":"crovia.axiom_proof.v1","seal":{"first_collector_run_id":"","first_receipt_hash":"","jsonl_path":"/opt/crovia/substrate/axiom_ledger.jsonl","key_id":"430895f101d38164","last_collector_run_id":"","last_receipt_hash":"","leaf_count":206226,"merkle_root":"d2a6d32b13cbf343fb143b21a756d0533864ae6577a376ee84ba867b949207ec","public_key_hex":"cf742e26f75669dc673cb5c0786a1ae23ae8ca19c347317192ce40c28a7ff25c","run_id":"hourly_json_retrofit_20260602T053701Z","schema":"crovia.seal.v1","seal_family_version":"crovia-seal-family/1","seal_kind":"substrate_batch","sealed_at":"2026-06-02T05:37:46Z","sig_algorithm":"ed25519","signature":"abd9956cfb19dd1fb8142c46a220bac2514848c6abb0e79b8b0940206cc3ebb00894d4daaf9f786427f82a7cc12482e7fda79054ebb06bceaa9b4b97e23fb30e","signer_version":"1.1.0"},"trust_root":{"key_id":"430895f101d38164","public_key_hex":"cf742e26f75669dc673cb5c0786a1ae23ae8ca19c347317192ce40c28a7ff25c","signature_algorithm":"ed25519","url":"/registry/canon/TRUST_ROOT.md"},"verifier":{"spec":"/registry/canon/AXIOM_RECEIPT_v1.md","url":"/v/axm_bdcf348db0a5639d99b6777e0e26db397453c77a9b48228f925b04eafaf0c9c3"}}