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This synchronic framing has shaped artificial systems, where empathic behavior is defined as affect recognition and response alignment. We argue this is the wrong target for extended dialogue, where understanding unfolds over time through prediction, divergence, and repair. We reframe empathy as predictive misalignment tolerance: the capacity to anticipate and regulate divergence across time rather than collapse it. We formalize this as Interpretive Error Tolerance (IET), a dynamic-threshold heuristic that models empathy as maintaining a viable band of divergence between agents. We evaluate this framework with two computational probes under controlled noise. The IET update rule does not outperform fixed baselines. Instead, we find a robust regime-dependent structure: repair trades discriminative fidelity for gist preservation. A","title":"Empathy as Predictive Misalignment Tolerance: A Co-Regulation Framework and the Regime Structure of Dialogue Repair","url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.15282","vendor":"arxiv_cs_ai"},"summary":"arXiv:2607.15282v1 Announce Type: cross \nAbstract: Empathy is most often theorized as resonance: a mirroring of another's present emotional or cognitive state. This synchronic framing has shaped artificial systems, where empathic behavior is defined as affect recognition and response alignment. We argue this is the wrong target for extended dialogue, where understanding unfolds over time through prediction, divergence, and repair. We reframe empathy as predictive misalignment tolerance: the capacity to anticipate and regulate divergence across time rather than collapse it. We formalize this as Interpretive Error Tolerance (IET), a dynamic-threshold heuristic that models empathy as maintaining a viable band of divergence between agents. We evaluate this framework with two computational probes under controlled noise. The IET update rule does not outperform fixed baselines. Instead, we find a robust regime-dependent structure: repair trades discriminative fidelity for gist preservation. 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