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Existing approaches to emotion recognition operate at the utterance level, obscuring the persistent phases that characterize real conversational dynamics. We propose a lightweight framework that models conversational emotion as a sequence of latent emotional regimes using sticky factorial HDP-HMMs over multimodal valence-arousal representations derived from simultaneous video, audio and textual input. 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We propose a lightweight framework that models conversational emotion as a sequence of latent emotional regimes using sticky factorial HDP-HMMs over multimodal valence-arousal representations derived from simultaneous video, audio and textual input. We evaluate the quality of regime prediction using LLM-as-a-Judge, geometric, and temporal consistency metrics, demonstrating that the sticky HDP-HMM produces more interpretable regime sequences than the baseline Gaussian HMM at a fraction of the computational cost of LLM-based dialogue state tracking meth","title":"Multimodal Hidden Markov Models for Persistent Emotional State Tracking","vendor":"arxiv_cs_ai"},"confidence":{"method":"deterministic"},"decision":"POSITIVE","issued_at":"2026-05-14T04:43:36Z","notes":"Spider vendor_press (news) news.vendor_press.v1","object":{"captured_by":"crovia.spider.vendor_press","primary_source_url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.12838"},"predecessors":[],"schema":"crovia.axiom.v1","signature":"ed25519:0c05d74ed75d870084d0e432e6077e64620d72586c15154732a3f47168cfd5a5ce5da644ae436c58298f29c5c4b516a52657916562faf2ef878b9526fd05f406","signer":"crovia.substrate","subject":{"observed_at":"2026-05-14T04:43:36Z","source_collector":"spider:vendor_press","target_id":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.12838"},"tsa":{"authority":"crovia.substrate.bootstrap","rfc3161_token":"{\"kind\":\"crovia.bootstrap.tsa\",\"source_jsonl\":\"/opt/crovia/spider/data/news/vendor_press_v1.jsonl\",\"source_seal_merkle_root\":\"spider_vendor_press_v1\",\"upgrade_path\":\"Sessione H \\u2014 OpenTimestamps weekly anchor\"}"},"zk_mode":"clear","zk_proof":null},"ledger":{"leaf_hash":"7c98b8434256d4b2c007ab9564520c65b8cdaa4250eacc555dc48ac5ee28840b","leaf_index":132431,"ledger_path":"/opt/crovia/substrate/axiom_ledger.jsonl"},"merkle_proof":{"hash_alg":"sha256","leaf_prefix":"0x00","node_prefix":"0x01","odd_leaf_rule":"duplicate_last","path":[{"sibling":"6627a981919eb7263f9b0fb6745d0d513919019d6159c2e16299973942ff73cc","side":"left"},{"sibling":"9acc75989faa3d54c20eb836d9b8a243b3f05624b846a1caf25f404ea7ef751d","side":"left"},{"sibling":"9d355728778a785de3114873c38233e3c43d7acdb6133503e00bb4eb03899db6","side":"left"},{"sibling":"08e089fe18dc4f1ad50c4b473700c152f3ca3cfa19f6ed933072e3f7a95af8ba","side":"left"},{"sibling":"32a5b3d06a1e27294d99a616b36648565fcd44f9cc1f477362064dac81c8af00","side":"right"},{"sibling":"274514099e39f2c823d48fa8895351268781be237d131c3f5c3043c9445192cb","side":"right"},{"sibling":"965877ab5caa989082deef399831bd46e3fe38968c16c9d08422d8ee79575daf","side":"left"},{"sibling":"0cd70adc3a7c14d2d9551d77d79bf364f954d70b2b229f9fe6f7f99125fe8f09","side":"right"},{"sibling":"ed110cac74740161e005dcd47c35637ac99ecf93121b3961837570c3af56caa0","side":"left"},{"sibling":"2270188e7d95b52d2bade0ab7da2d0816592f30757dcf71636f21b8f46eb1317","side":"right"},{"sibling":"c03f0a468f574a08ffe8b17e1a17bd88216e1359f0e33a54447e160cd8675da0","side":"left"},{"sibling":"038ff12da6f55509125ef0d96e1e57dda29a2fe63bf03fba2af4cf7cbcd88b36","side":"right"},{"sibling":"b0419206fe62ef216df3900ca93cffd44df267435a4643dda354c1310079cf91","side":"right"},{"sibling":"0d4a9c03674f9d0ce64df15c15e9f656a54b41f93c428aac8e615fda26291956","side":"right"},{"sibling":"7856d920f3f1f1d2194c1ed7351bf0d674440df3cb423a6911f89cb3e9578c0b","side":"right"},{"sibling":"6ac6396bdd2e9df315427a46155531476e7f9012b4bd962e0d2d6d1209b11723","side":"right"},{"sibling":"7c8dc85cbfe43e19ac759ad176cfa11dba2467ae17927c471d5c55663c4f490d","side":"right"},{"sibling":"d841ad93efda0869e5eb97678f348f03f5caab4353e05ff4bf18f47fb945b822","side":"left"}]},"schema":"crovia.axiom_proof.v1","seal":{"first_collector_run_id":"","first_receipt_hash":"","jsonl_path":"/opt/crovia/substrate/axiom_ledger.jsonl","key_id":"430895f101d38164","last_collector_run_id":"","last_receipt_hash":"","leaf_count":134292,"merkle_root":"77fc9c28fae777b81da5b495b3115474df6592dfac590333213d3bdf8b94a9b3","public_key_hex":"cf742e26f75669dc673cb5c0786a1ae23ae8ca19c347317192ce40c28a7ff25c","run_id":"hourly_json_retrofit_20260515T023701Z","schema":"crovia.seal.v1","seal_family_version":"crovia-seal-family/1","seal_kind":"substrate_batch","sealed_at":"2026-05-15T02:37:25Z","sig_algorithm":"ed25519","signature":"68107a834b00b24f5d4501e5ec727445311f132a486567ecc4c72a4e6dff24c8c21f2de3105293353ba5fdbe370d032819af6aa70f694e2e39b6af6737507009","signer_version":"1.1.0"},"trust_root":{"key_id":"430895f101d38164","public_key_hex":"cf742e26f75669dc673cb5c0786a1ae23ae8ca19c347317192ce40c28a7ff25c","signature_algorithm":"ed25519","url":"/registry/canon/TRUST_ROOT.md"},"verifier":{"spec":"/registry/canon/AXIOM_RECEIPT_v1.md","url":"/v/axm_cafa9911f8a1627053a35715d0cc7cc41e07f40abb93cbbd2dfc9c2aca6ada0d"}}