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This raises a substrate-level question: if the core forecasting operator is often low-complexity and approximately linear, does it need to be implemented as learned digital temporal mixing? We introduce HAMON, a passive diffractive optical forecasting core in which historical values are encoded onto an optical aperture, future positions are left dark, and cascaded trainable phase masks with free-space diffraction shape the forecast directly in the output field. At inference, prediction is performed by a single passive optical propagation pass with no trainable digital sequence-mixing layer.\n  Across standard benchmarks, HAMON outperforms the str","title":"HAMON: Passive Optical Sequence Mixing for Long-Horizon Forecasting","url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.17028","vendor":"arxiv_cs_ai"},"summary":"arXiv:2606.17028v1 Announce Type: cross \nAbstract: Simple linear and frequency-domain models remain surprisingly competitive in long-horizon time-series forecasting, and recent mechanistic evidence suggests that standard forecasting benchmarks may not require the dense superposed representations that make transformers powerful in other domains. This raises a substrate-level question: if the core forecasting operator is often low-complexity and approximately linear, does it need to be implemented as learned digital temporal mixing? We introduce HAMON, a passive diffractive optical forecasting core in which historical values are encoded onto an optical aperture, future positions are left dark, and cascaded trainable phase masks with free-space diffraction shape the forecast directly in the output field. At inference, prediction is performed by a single passive optical propagation pass with no trainable digital sequence-mixing layer.\n  Across standard benchmarks, HAMON outperforms the str","title":"HAMON: Passive Optical Sequence Mixing for Long-Horizon Forecasting","vendor":"arxiv_cs_ai"},"confidence":{"method":"deterministic"},"decision":"POSITIVE","issued_at":"2026-06-16T04:43:43Z","notes":"Spider vendor_press (news) news.vendor_press.v1","object":{"captured_by":"crovia.spider.vendor_press","primary_source_url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.17028"},"predecessors":[],"schema":"crovia.axiom.v1","signature":"ed25519:2252d336cab74ec47e10c6fed6989f1704a67f79abf378106c47f2d60be5ea1d292261554f417e0f1f3403c2c9843c46db9f1b8466fa941d4d7350f26fe00f01","signer":"crovia.substrate","subject":{"observed_at":"2026-06-16T04:43:43Z","source_collector":"spider:vendor_press","target_id":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.17028"},"tsa":{"authority":"crovia.substrate.bootstrap","rfc3161_token":"{\"kind\":\"crovia.bootstrap.tsa\",\"source_jsonl\":\"/opt/crovia/spider/data/news/vendor_press_v1.jsonl\",\"source_seal_merkle_root\":\"spider_vendor_press_v1\",\"upgrade_path\":\"Sessione H \\u2014 OpenTimestamps weekly anchor\"}"},"zk_mode":"clear","zk_proof":null},"ledger":{"leaf_hash":"364221997eca7703b1ee64062eeb606d4247055d0d1107fac9bc377e79abc8e8","leaf_index":230610,"ledger_path":"/opt/crovia/substrate/axiom_ledger.jsonl"},"merkle_proof":{"hash_alg":"sha256","leaf_prefix":"0x00","node_prefix":"0x01","odd_leaf_rule":"duplicate_last","path":[{"sibling":"b9bd92841a87798864d3654d9a8b1e0d24febd36d26c55c14733f06922c5416b","side":"right"},{"sibling":"19dddab62969bbf9515d18c6956251d60724589bd1198782760ca5aa948e9f68","side":"left"},{"sibling":"5e3a9f5803e76d466d4c8794550df6d637b10925abd27370e2f57834e1911afb","side":"right"},{"sibling":"f9aea350da74f380316392283fc2ead076e68f5b7513b6ce4b718c1d1affe550","side":"right"},{"sibling":"f5e89b71b08d06f91991bfd9a01d835895d8f11c6c49694858aa6a356c942174","side":"left"},{"sibling":"b23a457f9b965a633c26bab66026ad769d97ec466ee70b0741e924a50578df05","side":"right"},{"sibling":"f22cc217fca41b12942eb7a1a3f3a258a96e32aee3539815798f453610b93fdc","side":"left"},{"sibling":"f5958932b707fbb8d9de8cb158fe61200709928e9e5d860d183ba06f040858b6","side":"left"},{"sibling":"63d6b9d8af7ae8348285d3493af29f64992ecec42f5f1cae99c8604cd1703487","side":"right"},{"sibling":"0c5669692381d605223c74b8d30f70cd308e77e33d5e40ea84bb7b4f84f2d4d9","side":"right"},{"sibling":"d5b9f8b1a2c9f6a46e17982dfbe6ce1f3b5fa4e730220397f2253d114dcc8486","side":"left"},{"sibling":"d10d772a4984cae00e65ab24af21d1d260e475bbaae3f17871859eb705bd3999","side":"right"},{"sibling":"e79159853f2f35ddae8e3247d515e433c534277b287d65bbd77ae989aa4992fa","side":"right"},{"sibling":"3054319f1840cce0eaaf0bc4b1ae38e5bf8b6210927d924a750775cc7d77cca6","side":"right"},{"sibling":"0fd8b5059f279c4a4a6688de2472fdbc25543fee183df19b21dacca880354cff","side":"right"},{"sibling":"a04392fb9f2a3a620840e3b3fecd93d12e6d224e481c162389d8ae64e7194599","side":"left"},{"sibling":"c300cf0154c136afc09b1702a0be98f4ba5b6dc5cf57e8cc714ec1eaf4196eff","side":"left"},{"sibling":"d841ad93efda0869e5eb97678f348f03f5caab4353e05ff4bf18f47fb945b822","side":"left"}]},"schema":"crovia.axiom_proof.v1","seal":{"first_collector_run_id":"","first_receipt_hash":"","jsonl_path":"/opt/crovia/substrate/axiom_ledger.jsonl","key_id":"430895f101d38164","last_collector_run_id":"","last_receipt_hash":"","leaf_count":232015,"merkle_root":"62bfb7809bb55667ad7eeebdb48267b9b2c1ee89bb808ea1e6d3a814a15aa402","public_key_hex":"cf742e26f75669dc673cb5c0786a1ae23ae8ca19c347317192ce40c28a7ff25c","run_id":"hourly_json_retrofit_20260617T133701Z","schema":"crovia.seal.v1","seal_family_version":"crovia-seal-family/1","seal_kind":"substrate_batch","sealed_at":"2026-06-17T13:39:59Z","sig_algorithm":"ed25519","signature":"930a3563c643cc7518d048b12a1f5392a96a5edce49533ba0a56f11b6cc69319bb1c800aacc46b52a6941c4d05dae255a45cac757d6093c971b96852c24f140e","signer_version":"1.1.0"},"trust_root":{"key_id":"430895f101d38164","public_key_hex":"cf742e26f75669dc673cb5c0786a1ae23ae8ca19c347317192ce40c28a7ff25c","signature_algorithm":"ed25519","url":"/registry/canon/TRUST_ROOT.md"},"verifier":{"spec":"/registry/canon/AXIOM_RECEIPT_v1.md","url":"/v/axm_dec268b0f9e4b28877cd063704c0847793055b764645e285a6f51c1b02f2b8e3"}}