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While deep learning-based direct forecasting using ground-based sky images (GSI) has emerged as a dominant approach, existing literature is often constrained by single-architecture evaluations and an exclusive focus on single-horizon (point) prediction. This paper proposes a transition from traditional single-horizon estimation toward a multi-horizon forecasting framework, leading to an architecture-independent improvement in accuracy. We hypothesize and demonstrate experimentally that joint optimization over a sequence of future values allows deep neural networks to better capture latent inter-step temporal dependencies by avoiding precocious convergence of the network in terms of both weight gradi","title":"Learning Long-Term Temporal Dependencies in Photovoltaic Power Output Prediction Through Multi-Horizon Forecasting","url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.19074","vendor":"arxiv_cs_ai"},"summary":"arXiv:2605.19074v1 Announce Type: cross \nAbstract: The rapid global expansion of solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity-reaching a record 597 GW in 2024-highlights the urgent need for robust forecasting models to mitigate the grid instability caused by the intermittent nature of solar irradiance. While deep learning-based direct forecasting using ground-based sky images (GSI) has emerged as a dominant approach, existing literature is often constrained by single-architecture evaluations and an exclusive focus on single-horizon (point) prediction. This paper proposes a transition from traditional single-horizon estimation toward a multi-horizon forecasting framework, leading to an architecture-independent improvement in accuracy. We hypothesize and demonstrate experimentally that joint optimization over a sequence of future values allows deep neural networks to better capture latent inter-step temporal dependencies by avoiding precocious convergence of the network in terms of both weight gradi","title":"Learning Long-Term Temporal Dependencies in Photovoltaic Power Output Prediction Through Multi-Horizon Forecasting","vendor":"arxiv_cs_ai"},"confidence":{"method":"deterministic"},"decision":"POSITIVE","issued_at":"2026-05-20T04:43:44Z","notes":"Spider vendor_press (news) news.vendor_press.v1","object":{"captured_by":"crovia.spider.vendor_press","primary_source_url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.19074"},"predecessors":[],"schema":"crovia.axiom.v1","signature":"ed25519:82fa2c6794001de2b9b197cc0df136386d886822d3b6b1be4e3a8a30b0a3c6fb6585590c61aa38b6a04fc1b4b9795cd30897d3fd5511c9809936ee85a3019008","signer":"crovia.substrate","subject":{"observed_at":"2026-05-20T04:43:44Z","source_collector":"spider:vendor_press","target_id":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.19074"},"tsa":{"authority":"crovia.substrate.bootstrap","rfc3161_token":"{\"kind\":\"crovia.bootstrap.tsa\",\"source_jsonl\":\"/opt/crovia/spider/data/news/vendor_press_v1.jsonl\",\"source_seal_merkle_root\":\"spider_vendor_press_v1\",\"upgrade_path\":\"Sessione H \\u2014 OpenTimestamps weekly anchor\"}"},"zk_mode":"clear","zk_proof":null},"ledger":{"leaf_hash":"81ad9538385f722140323d564dddf35edff51cc344f2d81f080703f261b936ce","leaf_index":145070,"ledger_path":"/opt/crovia/substrate/axiom_ledger.jsonl"},"merkle_proof":{"hash_alg":"sha256","leaf_prefix":"0x00","node_prefix":"0x01","odd_leaf_rule":"duplicate_last","path":[{"sibling":"b3cd6241fc91998e3fcf0e45b3682cb14a74605a53cd9e6b6d6289d7350d0401","side":"right"},{"sibling":"cf111fedee1aa3f4c48d0a5c3dff1426c97f50050cc4d58ab9273cb96067e363","side":"left"},{"sibling":"6ca1c7d21394d68337d6a5a9d9a23dfb1e205cd2cc10ccade0d0822b5723bdfe","side":"left"},{"sibling":"605adcdbe390f07eff3172c5eef38ff365a1c0b3501365c8148706eea10cf48d","side":"left"},{"sibling":"95ad897053d9e5c6e688bdf4853ee1d9f4306adde250df95be374b196fd5d680","side":"right"},{"sibling":"6498b36e278698012393fb252639299d44ff76d3bbc2b98f93604927ea46e4ae","side":"left"},{"sibling":"3c054fc9610e75398c84d6602026026e93d4cc85db18f6da86b0e99184718c59","side":"right"},{"sibling":"3047d0cbdc103ff93a1a073ea940e12ff062595dae419513748ed63fbcb3359c","side":"left"},{"sibling":"9db04d2181fb869f16a5baf7dcfe999cc93a7e9beef8493d0cc71f57470fe5e1","side":"right"},{"sibling":"1526885f19d1fadf6955cf519dbc4e62d593a4bba99d741e8c301740a7068233","side":"left"},{"sibling":"e3a7d5c07f161682d61bd453ffc02ecdf87cfeda70f986d6650017f9d2d6b265","side":"left"},{"sibling":"edbc49f08e5b92291934c05c9e6efd270a6b0698d8d2fa474006366027dfe098","side":"right"},{"sibling":"3e4df6e7457cecbf36f350375e72dcab336a3984422e4c406ef809e4e2944e96","side":"left"},{"sibling":"8f4c0fbe56b6c010fbb8c782ebcd478079bb3f991d8704e2534209a075d9163c","side":"left"},{"sibling":"be08fedc4e72a6fb56606f66812fae7317e09690b9acb18385f4ab117a981238","side":"right"},{"sibling":"0534329a7475dc9df51998c83c16892126679dade0fa34182f21e869599386c7","side":"right"},{"sibling":"2d24720928ead0e7670650eb55f558c4f20e4c18df376f47ba72cfa8cf0ed344","side":"right"},{"sibling":"d841ad93efda0869e5eb97678f348f03f5caab4353e05ff4bf18f47fb945b822","side":"left"}]},"schema":"crovia.axiom_proof.v1","seal":{"first_collector_run_id":"","first_receipt_hash":"","jsonl_path":"/opt/crovia/substrate/axiom_ledger.jsonl","key_id":"430895f101d38164","last_collector_run_id":"","last_receipt_hash":"","leaf_count":147301,"merkle_root":"08903d7159c3b38eeeeafc09eab15139ea417f1d94f02f1fbc87296b37db840a","public_key_hex":"cf742e26f75669dc673cb5c0786a1ae23ae8ca19c347317192ce40c28a7ff25c","run_id":"hourly_json_retrofit_20260521T183701Z","schema":"crovia.seal.v1","seal_family_version":"crovia-seal-family/1","seal_kind":"substrate_batch","sealed_at":"2026-05-21T18:37:33Z","sig_algorithm":"ed25519","signature":"905f2924632dfa2970c8690285f5b5d4a1d891d0e0ef1cbc404ebec2fd937215ac768e16f0a9f28b18977a55ae0bfd226db6833ae7ef588729054117d2da7303","signer_version":"1.1.0"},"trust_root":{"key_id":"430895f101d38164","public_key_hex":"cf742e26f75669dc673cb5c0786a1ae23ae8ca19c347317192ce40c28a7ff25c","signature_algorithm":"ed25519","url":"/registry/canon/TRUST_ROOT.md"},"verifier":{"spec":"/registry/canon/AXIOM_RECEIPT_v1.md","url":"/v/axm_fee4b4365a752e6d7550b1510f5fd36a72fe4e02c94e91eaa1c621809ece85ea"}}